Saturday, September 5, 2009

US Open 2009 - Roger Federer vs Juan Martin Del Potro be the best Final?

When you look at the men's singles draw, there is hardly a player that can reasonably be expected to stop Roger Federer before the final. Juan Martin Del Potro can be the deserved man in US open to beat Roger Federer .
Roger Federer beat Lleyton Hewitt earlier today in 4 sets to reach the round of 16 and you have to put the Swiss Maestro into the quarters as he will be a huge favorite against either James Blake or Tommy Robredo. After that Roger Federer would draw either Robin Soderling or Nikolay Davydenko and neither of those two players can actually be looking forward to that projected quarterfinal match as they are a combined 0-23 against Federer lifetime, regardless of event or surface.

Even if Andy Roddick can get past John Isner and then Fernando Verdasco (Roddick is down two sets to Isner at time of writing) you still would never, ever call Roddick to beat Federer because Roger has always been the American's major nemesis. Time after time after time, Roddick has fallen to Federer, often in huge matches, as the American only has 2 life time wins against Federer.......in 21 matches played.

The only player that looks good enough to stop Roger Federer before the 2009 US Open final is Novak Djokovic, but he will be in tough just to make the semis with Verdasco at the top of his game and in the same part of the draw. Even if he does make it that far however,Roger Federer beat Djokovic just a couple weeks ago in the Cincy final and he, Federer, looked great doing it. Novak Djokovic would have a chance in the projected match based on his hardcourt abilities but he would still be a significant underdog based on Federer's play over the years in Flushing Meadows.

On the other side of the draw you have to like Juan Martin Del Potro's draw, at least to the quarters. Juan Martin Del Potro is going against no-name Daniel Koellerer next and then he will play the winner of Juan Carlos Ferrero and Gilles Simon. Neither of those two players looks good enough to beat Del Potro, even though Simon is ranked 9th on tour.

From the quarters to the final, Juan Martin Del Potro would likely face Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal with Murray being the biggest hang up. Juan Martin Del Potro has a recent victory over Nadal, who has never made a US Open final, and a few weeks ago Juan Martin Del Potro looked like he was going to take Murray out in the Canadian final before fatigue ruined his game. With the easy draw Del Potro has to the quarters, you have to think that he will still be fresh if he plays the Scot in Flushing Meadows this year and that could spell trouble for Murray.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Followers